Introduction

This is a special issue of the Miami COVID-19 Project Trajectory Report including Palm Beach and Broward Counties with data including June 30th, 2020. This report will be updated at the authors’ convenience.

Public understanding of science is critical in times of crisis. The following analysis was conducted to examine the trajectory of COVID-19 in the South Florida counties of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach. For phased reopening, the White House has set guidelines for local municipalities in their “Opening Up American Again” report. In the report, it is highly suggested that:

  1. Local areas show a downward trajectory in the number of positive cases as a percent of total tests over a two-week period, and
  2. Local hospitals have capacity to handle all patients without crisis care.

The analysis begins by looking at the number of new positive cases each day and the number of total tests performed each day. The figures are presented together because as there is more testing, there are likely to be more positive test results. Therefore, the proportion of positive cases is also calculated. Given a flat or increasing number of tests performed, the proportion of positive cases is the key metric to be used when looking at epidemic trajectory. It is recommended that this proportion not exceed 5%.

Finally, to ensure hospitals can meet demand without crisis care, the COVID-19 positive hospitalization census, COVID-19 positive ICU census, and COVID-19 positive ventilation census is plotted over time. Census refers to the number of COVID-19 positive patients in the hospital, ICU, and on ventilators, respectively, on a given day.

For Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach Counties, this document shows the

Miami-Dade County

COVID-19 Testing Data

Full Data

This is a table of the most recent data we have available. We include data sources at the end of the document.
Date Positive Negative PropPositive PositivePer1k
20-Mar 23 146 13.6094675 136.094675
21-Mar 53 419 11.2288136 112.288136
22-Mar 83 452 15.5140187 155.140187
23-Mar 44 241 15.4385965 154.385965
24-Mar 90 491 15.4905336 154.905336
25-Mar 154 1079 12.4898621 124.898621
26-Mar 178 749 19.2017260 192.017260
27-Mar 205 1066 16.1290323 161.290323
28-Mar 270 917 22.7464195 227.464195
29-Mar 362 1248 22.4844720 224.844720
30-Mar 278 963 22.4012893 224.012893
31-Mar 461 1613 22.2275796 222.275796
1-Apr 272 1569 14.7745790 147.745790
2-Apr 544 2413 18.3970240 183.970240
3-Apr 625 1878 24.9700360 249.700360
4-Apr 531 2521 17.3984273 173.984273
5-Apr 311 1260 19.7963081 197.963081
6-Apr 556 2309 19.4066318 194.066318
7-Apr 493 1990 19.8550141 198.550141
8-Apr 488 1113 30.4809494 304.809494
9-Apr 435 2636 14.1647672 141.647672
10-Apr 542 2505 17.7879882 177.879882
11-Apr 563 2732 17.0864947 170.864947
12-Apr 364 1614 18.4024267 184.024267
13-Apr 477 2267 17.3833819 173.833819
14-Apr 364 1663 17.9575728 179.575728
15-Apr 438 2392 15.4770318 154.770318
16-Apr 536 2767 16.2276718 162.276718
17-Apr 519 2901 15.1754386 151.754386
18-Apr 296 1509 16.3988920 163.988920
19-Apr 465 2690 14.7385103 147.385103
20-Apr 413 3232 11.3305898 113.305898
21-Apr 577 4230 12.0033285 120.033285
22-Apr 465 2701 14.6873026 146.873026
23-Apr 619 3647 14.5100797 145.100797
24-Apr 552 2852 16.2162162 162.162162
25-Apr 564 4136 12.0000000 120.000000
26-Apr 384 2576 12.9729730 129.729730
27-Apr 446 2789 13.7867079 137.867079
28-Apr 213 1333 13.7774903 137.774903
29-Apr 309 1704 15.3502235 153.502236
30-Apr 333 3724 8.2080355 82.080355
1-May 250 3616 6.4666322 64.666322
2-May 144 2183 6.1882252 61.882252
3-May 295 2896 9.2447509 92.447509
4-May 151 3900 3.7274747 37.274747
5-May 165 2231 6.8864775 68.864775
6-May 153 2296 6.2474479 62.474479
7-May 95 2091 4.3458371 43.458371
8-May 165 2615 5.9352518 59.352518
9-May 225 2208 9.2478422 92.478422
10-May 159 2546 5.8780037 58.780037
11-May 164 3420 4.5758929 45.758929
12-May 153 1660 8.4390513 84.390513
13-May 274 2214 11.0128617 110.128617
14-May 213 1726 10.9850438 109.850438
15-May 177 1927 8.4125475 84.125475
16-May 544 3047 15.1489836 151.489836
17-May 164 4218 3.7425833 37.425833
18-May 123 5310 2.2639426 22.639426
19-May 66 13671 0.4804542 4.804543
20-May 343 7304 4.4854191 44.854191
21-May 190 2649 6.6924974 66.924974
22-May 158 3143 4.7864284 47.864284
23-May 123 2491 4.7054323 47.054323
24-May 219 5545 3.7994448 37.994448
25-May 113 2819 3.8540246 38.540246
26-May 100 1786 5.3022269 53.022269
27-May 143 2693 5.0423131 50.423131
28-May 259 5673 4.3661497 43.661497
29-May 165 2458 6.2905071 62.905071
30-May 202 4115 4.6791754 46.791753
31-May 138 2921 4.5112782 45.112782
1-Jun 83 1042 7.3777778 73.777778
2-Jun 250 4639 5.1135201 51.135202
3-Jun 274 4952 5.2430157 52.430157
4-Jun 217 3909 5.2593311 52.593311
5-Jun 233 3111 6.9677033 69.677033
6-Jun 328 8882 3.5613464 35.613464
7-Jun 226 2674 7.7931034 77.931034
8-Jun 231 4255 5.1493535 51.493535
9-Jun 247 3249 7.0652174 70.652174
10-Jun 295 4861 5.7214895 57.214895
11-Jun 255 3967 6.0397916 60.397916
12-Jun 560 4866 10.3206782 103.206782
13-Jun 523 9250 5.3514786 53.514786
14-Jun 263 2732 8.7813022 87.813022
15-Jun 523 5252 9.0562771 90.562771
16-Jun 493 3352 12.8218466 128.218466
17-Jun 561 4452 11.1909037 111.909036
18-Jun 549 4444 10.9953936 109.953936
19-Jun 615 4700 11.5710254 115.710254
20-Jun 903 5927 13.2210835 132.210835
21-Jun 511 2627 16.2842575 162.842575
22-Jun 672 3059 18.0112570 180.112570
23-Jun 945 3892 19.5369030 195.369030
24-Jun 889 7909 10.1045692 101.045692
25-Jun 1513 9146 14.1945774 141.945774
26-Jun 1362 8345 14.0311116 140.311116
27-Jun 2160 9961 17.8203119 178.203119
28-Jun 1531 6742 18.5059833 185.059833
29-Jun 1592 7403 17.6987215 176.987215
30-Jun 1139 5107 18.2356708 182.356708
1-Jul 2300 9494 19.5014414 195.014414
2-Jul 2049 7756 20.8975013 208.975013
3-Jul 2444 10480 18.9105540 189.105540
4-Jul 2278 8857 20.4580153 204.580153
5-Jul 1988 7977 19.9498244 199.498244
6-Jul 2043 7706 20.9559955 209.559955
7-Jul 2936 10495 21.8598764 218.598764
8-Jul 2004 5641 26.2132112 262.132113


Total COVID-19 Tests by Day

The average number of COVID-19 tests performed each day has doubled from about 2,000 in early April to just under 10,000 in late June. Over the past two weeks, there has been an average increase of 72 new additional tests each day, per day in Miami-Dade County. This data is presented on a log scale.

Positive COVID-19 Tests by Day

There was a general decrease in the number of new positive test results from early April until around mid May when Miami-Dade reopened. Afterwards, this trend flattened out and then increased. Over the past two weeks, there has been an average increase of 85 new additional positive cases each day, per day in Miami-Dade County. A high of 2447 for new positive cases was obtained on July 3rd.

Proportion of Positive Cases within Past Two Weeks

During the 14-day period from 24 June to 08 July, there was a significant increase in the proportion of positive COVID-19 cases reported in Miami-Dade County. Over this period, there was an average increase of 0.8 percentage points per day for new positive cases. This increase was even greater during the last week. Given a flat or increasing number of tests performed, the proportion of positive tests obtained is the key metric for examining COVID-19 trajectory. The percentage of positive test results obtained has exceeded the 5% positive threshold recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) for reopening.

Proportion of Positive COVID-19 Tests by Day

Overall, the proportion of positive test results out of all tests decreased significantly from just under 20% in early April to the proportion of about 5% at the end of May. This is function of test availability and the population being tested. Overall, since the county reopened, the proportion of positive tests is now increasing significantly over time, returning to the current proportion of approximately 20%. Given a flat or increasing number of tests performed, an increase in the proportion of positive tests obtained points to evidence of increased COVID-19 community spread in Miami-Dade county.

COVID-19 Hospitalization Data

Full Data

The data below is COVID-19 hospital census data for Miami-Dade County for all dates with available data since April 2.These columns are: the number of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (Hospitalized), the number of patients in intensive care with COVID-19 (ICU), the number of patients in intensive care with COVID-19 who are also on ventilators (Ventilated), the number of patients positive for COVID-19 that were admitted the previous day (AdmitPrevDay), the number of patients recovered from COVID-19 that were discharged the previous day (DischPrevDay), and the net admission of patients positive for COVID-19 the previous day (DeltaAdmit; a negative value means more recovered patients were discharged than sick patients admitted).

Date County TotalBeds AvailableBeds HospitalCapacity Hospitalized ICU Ventilated AdmitPrevDay DischPrevDay DeltaAdmit
2020-04-02 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 320 130 116 NA NA NA
2020-04-03 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 346 133 116 111 33 78
2020-04-04 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 416 133 112 59 37 22
2020-04-05 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 533 188 146 108 19 89
2020-04-06 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 516 178 151 89 21 68
2020-04-07 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 591 199 167 76 28 48
2020-04-08 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 636 215 166 107 32 75
2020-04-09 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 634 232 170 99 61 38
2020-04-10 MIAMI-DADE 9455 4977 0.5263882 681 245 172 79 37 42
2020-04-10 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 676 251 183 73 36 37
2020-04-11 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 671 238 177 99 64 35
2020-04-12 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 672 243 192 80 59 21
2020-04-12 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 714 245 183 60 61 -1
2020-04-13 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 653 247 184 74 47 27
2020-04-13 MIAMI-DADE 9455 NA NA 695 251 184 80 48 32
2020-04-14 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3264 0.3452142 653 204 146 69 41 28
2020-04-14 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3483 0.3683765 712 249 174 86 66 20
2020-04-15 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3325 0.3516658 693 234 169 84 76 8
2020-04-16 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3341 0.3533580 714 223 176 77 84 -7
2020-04-16 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3604 0.3811740 736 226 176 74 111 -37
2020-04-17 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3570 0.3775780 706 213 172 83 107 -24
2020-04-17 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3471 0.3671074 797 285 170 74 88 -14
2020-04-18 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3455 0.3654151 697 221 170 101 137 -36
2020-04-18 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3561 0.3766261 697 219 170 93 138 -45
2020-04-19 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3507 0.3709149 730 223 170 71 105 -34
2020-04-20 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3410 0.3606557 727 210 167 58 64 -6
2020-04-21 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3468 0.3667901 759 205 155 92 81 11
2020-04-22 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3260 0.3447911 743 196 148 72 88 -16
2020-04-22 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3410 0.3606557 722 194 139 71 121 -50
2020-04-23 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3378 0.3572713 706 186 129 91 62 29
2020-04-23 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3541 0.3745108 728 192 139 82 65 17
2020-04-24 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3193 0.3377049 694 173 125 86 66 20
2020-04-25 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3383 0.3578001 699 182 133 85 50 35
2020-04-25 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3288 0.3477525 705 178 133 84 51 33
2020-04-26 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3231 0.3417240 752 176 115 95 34 61
2020-04-26 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3250 0.3437335 747 177 116 79 32 47
2020-04-27 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3266 0.3454257 728 163 114 52 23 29
2020-04-27 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3278 0.3466949 725 162 115 50 26 24
2020-04-28 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3045 0.3220518 763 204 128 53 43 10
2020-04-28 MIAMI-DADE 9455 2996 0.3168694 776 203 127 71 52 19
2020-04-29 MIAMI-DADE 9455 2927 0.3095717 746 204 119 74 48 26
2020-04-29 MIAMI-DADE 9455 2916 0.3084082 747 196 120 75 44 31
2020-04-30 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3006 0.3179270 735 167 108 64 61 3
2020-04-30 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3001 0.3173982 735 168 108 58 63 -5
2020-05-01 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3266 0.3454257 733 177 110 69 76 -7
2020-05-01 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3274 0.3462718 724 171 110 79 77 2
2020-05-02 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3230 0.3416182 715 168 107 86 72 14
2020-05-03 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3344 0.3536753 707 181 103 68 134 -66
2020-05-03 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3335 0.3527234 697 179 102 56 132 -76
2020-05-04 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3114 0.3293496 702 170 105 46 29 17
2020-05-04 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3118 0.3297726 692 167 103 47 33 14
2020-05-05 MIAMI-DADE 9455 2950 0.3120042 674 157 84 68 76 -8
2020-05-05 MIAMI-DADE 9455 2954 0.3124273 677 156 84 67 74 -7
2020-05-06 MIAMI-DADE 9455 2926 0.3094659 660 142 80 80 68 12
2020-05-06 MIAMI-DADE 9455 2930 0.3098889 658 142 80 84 72 12
2020-05-07 MIAMI-DADE 9455 2867 0.3032258 661 137 75 71 65 6
2020-05-07 MIAMI-DADE 9455 2870 0.3035431 658 136 75 71 65 6
2020-05-08 MIAMI-DADE 9455 3023 0.3197250 643 130 78 68 64 4
2020-05-09 MIAMI-DADE 9526 3056 0.3208062 817 128 79 67 185 -118
2020-05-09 MIAMI-DADE 9526 3049 0.3200714 649 129 79 71 180 -109
2020-05-10 MIAMI-DADE 9526 3017 0.3167122 662 133 77 81 35 46
2020-05-10 MIAMI-DADE 9526 3073 0.3225908 667 127 77 64 31 33
2020-05-11 MIAMI-DADE 9526 3214 0.3373924 695 121 74 58 23 35
2020-05-11 MIAMI-DADE 9526 3214 0.3373924 695 121 74 58 23 35
2020-05-12 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2889 0.3032752 698 123 82 74 49 25
2020-05-12 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2874 0.3017006 634 111 73 76 50 26
2020-05-13 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2862 0.3004409 679 112 68 50 59 -9
2020-05-13 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2764 0.2901533 716 119 66 54 55 -1
2020-05-14 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2696 0.2830149 694 118 62 54 74 -20
2020-05-14 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2685 0.2818602 694 117 61 47 76 -29
2020-05-15 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2663 0.2795507 697 110 59 67 76 -9
2020-05-15 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2662 0.2794457 697 111 59 60 64 -4
2020-05-16 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2759 0.2896284 714 119 61 62 81 -19
2020-05-16 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2760 0.2897334 747 125 62 74 83 -9
2020-05-18 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2638 0.2769263 778 128 82 23 14 9
2020-05-19 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2560 0.2687382 742 122 50 52 44 8
2020-05-23 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2592 0.2720974 772 114 59 70 68 2
2020-05-26 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2800 0.2939324 792 106 67 67 110 -43
2020-05-27 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2589 0.2717825 768 106 61 42 46 -4
2020-05-28 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2391 0.2509973 740 103 56 59 98 -39
2020-05-29 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2464 0.2586605 729 92 55 48 74 -26
2020-05-31 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2640 0.2771363 716 96 53 71 49 22
2020-06-01 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2526 0.2651690 663 95 75 39 45 -6
2020-06-02 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2464 0.2586605 714 96 54 61 59 2
2020-06-03 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2339 0.2455385 699 98 56 58 109 -51
2020-06-04 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2444 0.2565610 643 98 NA 60 81 -21
2020-06-05 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2478 0.2601302 717 114 56 82 86 -4
2020-06-08 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2504 0.2628595 723 108 60 56 22 34
2020-06-10 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2199 0.2308419 724 93 58 60 54 6
2020-06-11 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2160 0.2267478 691 98 58 65 67 -2
2020-06-12 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2192 0.2301071 686 99 59 54 70 -16
2020-06-12 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2291 0.2404997 681 103 59 58 69 -11
2020-06-15 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2383 0.2501575 738 126 66 95 45 50
2020-06-16 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2250 0.2361957 754 135 64 99 76 23
2020-06-17 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2161 0.2268528 761 131 67 101 87 14
2020-06-18 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2036 0.2137308 761 138 64 101 249 -148
2020-06-19 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2096 0.2200294 758 131 71 115 150 -35
2020-06-20 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2087 0.2190846 794 131 74 103 92 11
2020-06-22 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2066 0.2168801 900 165 77 110 42 68
2020-06-23 MIAMI-DADE 9526 1991 0.2090069 932 163 78 154 94 60
2020-06-24 MIAMI-DADE 9526 1852 0.1944153 981 185 83 164 121 43
2020-06-25 MIAMI-DADE 9526 1830 0.1921058 955 182 87 160 140 20
2020-06-26 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2054 0.2156204 1006 195 88 187 142 45
2020-06-27 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2118 0.2223389 1004 206 91 160 136 24
2020-06-27 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2127 0.2232836 1004 206 90 162 130 32
2020-06-28 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2166 0.2273777 1100 223 90 182 109 73
2020-06-29 MIAMI-DADE 9526 1987 0.2085870 1152 234 92 160 110 50
2020-06-30 MIAMI-DADE 9526 1863 0.1955700 1219 282 105 174 120 54
2020-07-01 MIAMI-DADE 9526 1819 0.1909511 1295 265 119 211 209 2
2020-07-02 MIAMI-DADE 9526 1735 0.1821331 1381 283 140 251 170 81
2020-07-03 MIAMI-DADE 9526 1979 0.2077472 1394 295 148 218 199 19
2020-07-05 MIAMI-DADE 9526 2002 0.2101617 1539 332 166 204 138 66
2020-07-06 MIAMI-DADE 8412 1734 0.2061341 1612 330 171 214 132 82
2020-07-08 MIAMI-DADE 8412 1746 0.2075606 1657 349 179 235 265 -30
2020-07-09 MIAMI-DADE 8412 1698 0.2018545 1719 360 188 210 228 -18


Hospital COVID-19 Census Trajectory

We now show a census plot of hospitalizations, patients in ICU, and those in ICU on ventilators (shown on a log scale) for Miami-Dade County. Overall, since mid-April, the number of COVID-19 positive patients in Miami-Dade County hospitals remained constant at around 700 people in hospitals until mid June. The COVID-19 ICU census has decreased from its reported peak of 285 on April 17th to around 100 as of June 6th. Overall, the number of COVID-19 patients on ventilators has decreased significantly from its highest point of 192 ventilated on April 22nd to around 60 on June 6th. However, the observed decreasing trends for ICU census and ventilation census have reversed over the past three weeks and begun to increase for both ICU census and ventilation census, respectively. Additionally, county hospitalizations have begun to increase as well. On June 30th, 1219 COVID-19 positive patients were hospitalized, a new high during the period analyzed

We also show the proportion of patients hospitalized which are in ICU and the proportion of those in ICU which are ventilated.

Overall, the percentage of COVID-19 hospitalized patients requiring intensive care has decreased from over 40% in early April to around 13% in mid May. In the past three weeks, this trend has reversed and the percentage of patients in the ICU on ventilation has begun to increase to approximately 25%. Additionally, the percentage of patients in the ICU on ventilation has decreased from approximately 85% in early April to the current percentage of under 50%. This decrease has continued over the past three weeks.

Broward County

COVID-19 Testing Data

Full Data

Date Positive Negative PropPositive PositivePer1k
20-Mar 32 749 4.0973111 40.973111
21-Mar 36 277 11.5015974 115.015974
22-Mar 53 351 13.1188119 131.188119
23-Mar 46 245 15.8075601 158.075601
24-Mar 49 238 17.0731707 170.731707
25-Mar 100 1413 6.6093853 66.093853
26-Mar 93 859 9.7689076 97.689076
27-Mar 126 1044 10.7692308 107.692308
28-Mar 189 1591 10.6179775 106.179775
29-Mar 18 229 7.2874494 72.874494
30-Mar 299 2553 10.4838710 104.838710
31-Mar 82 672 10.8753316 108.753316
1-Apr 13 193 6.3106796 63.106796
2-Apr 249 935 21.0304054 210.304054
3-Apr 84 1271 6.1992620 61.992620
4-Apr 227 1028 18.0876494 180.876494
5-Apr 94 1204 7.2419106 72.419106
6-Apr 181 1029 14.9586777 149.586777
7-Apr 163 1052 13.4156379 134.156379
9-Apr 122 1262 8.8150289 88.150289
10-Apr 199 944 17.4103237 174.103237
11-Apr 155 805 16.1458333 161.458333
12-Apr 150 1008 12.9533679 129.533679
13-Apr 299 1574 15.9636946 159.636946
14-Apr 117 789 12.9139073 129.139073
15-Apr 186 1135 14.0802422 140.802422
16-Apr 254 2340 9.7918273 97.918273
17-Apr 183 1208 13.1560029 131.560029
18-Apr 217 1213 15.1748252 151.748252
19-Apr 223 1362 14.0694006 140.694006
20-Apr 181 1060 14.5850121 145.850121
21-Apr 191 1193 13.8005780 138.005780
22-Apr 166 1456 10.2342787 102.342787
23-Apr 312 2851 9.8640531 98.640531
24-Apr 247 1537 13.8452915 138.452915
25-Apr NA NA NA NA
26-Apr NA NA NA NA
27-Apr NA NA NA NA
28-Apr NA NA NA NA
29-Apr 66 787 7.7373974 77.373974
30-Apr 183 3640 4.7868166 47.868166
1-May 107 1839 5.4984584 54.984584
2-May 60 1122 5.0761421 50.761421
3-May 66 785 7.7555817 77.555817
4-May 108 2090 4.9135578 49.135578
5-May 63 1805 3.3725910 33.725910
6-May 80 1458 5.2015605 52.015605
7-May 47 5356 0.8698871 8.698871
8-May 49 1470 3.2258065 32.258065
9-May 89 654 11.9784657 119.784657
10-May 22 2180 0.9990917 9.990917
11-May 68 1744 3.7527594 37.527594
12-May 61 1332 4.3790380 43.790380
13-May 52 2155 2.3561396 23.561396
14-May 69 1150 5.6603774 56.603774
15-May 41 499 7.5925926 75.925926
16-May 81 1344 5.6842105 56.842105
17-May 78 1956 3.8348083 38.348083
18-May 47 2476 1.8628617 18.628617
19-May 45 6470 0.6907137 6.907137
20-May 109 4259 2.4954212 24.954213
21-May 64 3411 1.8417266 18.417266
22-May 72 3400 2.0737327 20.737327
23-May 41 1168 3.3912324 33.912324
24-May 78 3557 2.1458047 21.458047
25-May 39 1608 2.3679417 23.679417
26-May 36 994 3.4951456 34.951456
27-May 38 1960 1.9019019 19.019019
28-May 101 4316 2.2866199 22.866199
29-May 82 1451 5.3489889 53.489889
30-May 70 2698 2.5289017 25.289017
31-May 72 3060 2.2988506 22.988506
1-Jun 51 762 6.2730627 62.730627
2-Jun 83 2190 3.6515618 36.515618
3-Jun 101 3850 2.5563149 25.563149
4-Jun 104 4207 2.4124333 24.124333
5-Jun 97 2830 3.3139734 33.139733
6-Jun 146 4808 2.9471134 29.471134
7-Jun 115 2425 4.5275591 45.275591
8-Jun 135 3257 3.9799528 39.799528
9-Jun 108 1538 6.5613609 65.613609
10-Jun 151 2434 5.8413926 58.413927
11-Jun 226 4334 4.9561404 49.561403
12-Jun 206 3358 5.7800224 57.800224
13-Jun 108 3921 2.6805659 26.805659
14-Jun 129 2423 5.0548589 50.548589
15-Jun 391 4817 7.5076805 75.076805
16-Jun 285 2611 9.8411602 98.411602
17-Jun 275 3473 7.3372465 73.372465
18-Jun 270 2766 8.8932806 88.932806
19-Jun 341 3200 9.6300480 96.300480
20-Jun 507 4785 9.5804989 95.804989
21-Jun 138 2084 6.2106211 62.106211
22-Jun 463 4061 10.2343059 102.343059
23-Jun 457 3711 10.9644914 109.644914
24-Jun 387 5609 6.4543029 64.543029
25-Jun 730 5673 11.4009058 114.009058
26-Jun 726 6248 10.4100946 104.100946
27-Jun 552 4750 10.4111656 104.111656
28-Jun 444 3255 12.0032441 120.032441
29-Jun 594 3796 13.5307517 135.307517
30-Jun 531 3070 14.7459039 147.459039
1-Jul 947 6057 13.5208452 135.208452
2-Jul 1102 5719 16.1559889 161.559889
3-Jul 1348 8267 14.0197608 140.197608
4-Jul 1652 8429 16.3872632 163.872632
5-Jul 627 3336 15.8213475 158.213475
6-Jul 753 5012 13.0615785 130.615785
7-Jul 1176 7257 13.9452152 139.452152
8-Jul 1347 4582 22.7188396 227.188396


Total COVID-19 Tests by Day

The average number of COVID-19 tests performed each day has increased from about 1000 in early April to approximately 5000 in late June. Over the past two weeks, there has been an average increase of 118 new additional tests each day in Broward County. This data is presented on a log scale.

Positive COVID-19 Tests by Day

There was a general decrease in the number of new positive test results from early April until around May 11th. Afterwards, this trend flattened out and then increased. Over the past two weeks, there has been an average increase of 55 new additional positive cases each day, per day in Broward County.

Proportion of Positive Cases within Past Two Weeks

During the 14-day period from 24 June to 08 July, there was a significant increase in the proportion of positive COVID-19 cases reported in Broward County. Over this period, there was an average increase of 0.6 percentage points per day for new positive cases.

Proportion of Positive COVID-19 Tests by Day

Overall, the proportion of positive test results out of all tests decreased significantly from over 15% in April to the proportion of about 4% at the end of May. From there, there has been an increase to the currently proportion of over 15%. This measure is a function of test availability and the population being tested. Overall, since the county reopened, the proportion of positive tests is now increasing significantly over time. Over the past two weeks, the proportion of positive cases obtained has increased by approximately 0.6 % each day for Broward County.

COVID-19 Hospitalization Data

Full Data

Date County TotalBeds AvailableBeds HospitalCapacity Hospitalized ICU Ventilated AdmitPrevDay DischPrevDay DeltaAdmit
2020-04-02 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 204 71 56 NA NA NA
2020-04-03 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 250 87 70 143 49 94
2020-04-04 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 298 98 80 41 18 23
2020-04-05 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 341 96 92 83 66 17
2020-04-06 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 389 122 110 71 72 -1
2020-04-07 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 413 128 113 65 81 -16
2020-04-08 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 391 135 119 62 108 -46
2020-04-09 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 376 135 106 55 54 1
2020-04-10 BROWARD 6816 3575 0.5245012 374 136 114 83 84 -1
2020-04-10 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 380 148 120 84 72 12
2020-04-11 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 370 140 115 71 80 -9
2020-04-12 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 400 145 120 66 60 6
2020-04-12 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 398 152 121 77 64 13
2020-04-13 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 326 128 99 72 59 13
2020-04-13 BROWARD 6816 NA NA 406 146 116 84 62 22
2020-04-14 BROWARD 6816 2035 0.2985622 400 144 116 89 60 29
2020-04-14 BROWARD 6816 1992 0.2922535 398 140 108 107 65 42
2020-04-15 BROWARD 6816 1970 0.2890258 387 144 112 142 136 6
2020-04-16 BROWARD 6816 2199 0.3226232 396 147 114 136 111 25
2020-04-16 BROWARD 6816 2100 0.3080986 378 139 106 125 55 70
2020-04-17 BROWARD 6816 2068 0.3034038 376 135 106 122 63 59
2020-04-17 BROWARD 6816 2132 0.3127934 365 135 104 70 44 26
2020-04-18 BROWARD 6816 2055 0.3014965 310 107 82 68 118 -50
2020-04-18 BROWARD 6816 2150 0.3154343 381 125 102 64 48 16
2020-04-19 BROWARD 6816 2053 0.3012031 378 127 100 53 43 10
2020-04-20 BROWARD 6816 2029 0.2976819 371 123 105 60 39 21
2020-04-21 BROWARD 6816 2082 0.3054577 330 107 88 90 66 24
2020-04-22 BROWARD 6816 2069 0.3035505 360 116 97 62 57 5
2020-04-22 BROWARD 6816 2079 0.3050176 356 117 95 52 40 12
2020-04-23 BROWARD 6816 2099 0.3079519 364 119 82 47 33 14
2020-04-23 BROWARD 6816 2044 0.2998826 363 121 84 38 40 -2
2020-04-24 BROWARD 6816 1680 0.2464789 372 117 102 46 38 8
2020-04-25 BROWARD 6816 1671 0.2451585 347 116 103 67 57 10
2020-04-25 BROWARD 6816 1679 0.2463322 343 112 85 77 65 12
2020-04-26 BROWARD 6816 1689 0.2477993 341 110 84 74 50 24
2020-04-26 BROWARD 6816 1675 0.2457453 343 113 84 63 48 15
2020-04-27 BROWARD 6816 1825 0.2677523 335 105 82 35 39 -4
2020-04-27 BROWARD 6816 1836 0.2693662 336 107 80 35 40 -5
2020-04-28 BROWARD 6816 1740 0.2552817 324 99 74 69 59 10
2020-04-28 BROWARD 6816 1739 0.2551350 324 99 74 69 59 10
2020-04-29 BROWARD 6816 1772 0.2599765 319 101 77 59 55 4
2020-04-29 BROWARD 6816 1771 0.2598298 319 101 77 59 55 4
2020-04-30 BROWARD 6816 1755 0.2574824 311 92 77 47 50 -3
2020-04-30 BROWARD 6816 1757 0.2577758 312 93 77 47 50 -3
2020-05-01 BROWARD 6816 1833 0.2689261 309 91 69 65 62 3
2020-05-01 BROWARD 6816 1833 0.2689261 310 91 69 65 62 3
2020-05-02 BROWARD 6816 1762 0.2585094 308 91 72 55 62 -7
2020-05-03 BROWARD 6816 1729 0.2536678 301 89 67 31 30 1
2020-05-03 BROWARD 6816 1715 0.2516138 305 89 69 47 40 7
2020-05-04 BROWARD 6816 1720 0.2523474 271 74 53 34 43 -9
2020-05-04 BROWARD 6816 1721 0.2524941 270 75 53 33 45 -12
2020-05-05 BROWARD 6816 1701 0.2495599 254 71 50 33 44 -11
2020-05-05 BROWARD 6816 1701 0.2495599 259 75 50 33 44 -11
2020-05-06 BROWARD 6816 1796 0.2634977 249 65 52 44 31 13
2020-05-06 BROWARD 6816 1796 0.2634977 249 65 52 50 31 19
2020-05-07 BROWARD 6816 1830 0.2684859 246 61 44 43 21 22
2020-05-07 BROWARD 6816 1830 0.2684859 246 61 44 43 21 22
2020-05-08 BROWARD 6816 1824 0.2676056 247 68 42 40 20 20
2020-05-09 BROWARD 6816 1914 0.2808099 241 62 41 36 25 11
2020-05-09 BROWARD 6816 1890 0.2772887 241 63 42 34 21 13
2020-05-10 BROWARD 6816 1873 0.2747946 253 63 41 41 18 23
2020-05-10 BROWARD 6816 1873 0.2747946 253 63 41 41 18 23
2020-05-11 BROWARD 6816 1839 0.2698063 283 59 39 50 6 44
2020-05-11 BROWARD 6816 1832 0.2687793 283 59 39 50 6 44
2020-05-12 BROWARD 6816 1682 0.2467723 279 61 41 30 20 10
2020-05-12 BROWARD 6816 1682 0.2467723 279 61 41 30 20 10
2020-05-13 BROWARD 6816 1616 0.2370892 246 50 24 41 16 25
2020-05-13 BROWARD 6816 1625 0.2384096 286 57 34 42 15 27
2020-05-14 BROWARD 6816 1654 0.2426643 300 57 36 41 26 15
2020-05-14 BROWARD 6816 1654 0.2426643 300 57 36 44 26 18
2020-05-15 BROWARD 6816 1694 0.2485329 281 45 35 25 19 6
2020-05-15 BROWARD 6816 1694 0.2485329 281 45 35 25 19 6
2020-05-16 BROWARD 6816 1779 0.2610035 277 41 36 22 25 -3
2020-05-16 BROWARD 6816 1723 0.2527876 270 43 38 23 25 -2
2020-05-18 BROWARD 6816 1838 0.2696596 270 46 42 22 17 5
2020-05-19 BROWARD 6816 1665 0.2442782 277 48 40 28 17 11
2020-05-23 BROWARD 6816 1590 0.2332746 228 48 41 23 17 6
2020-05-26 BROWARD 6816 1740 0.2552817 230 47 37 25 18 7
2020-05-27 BROWARD 6816 1703 0.2498533 228 49 37 27 22 5
2020-05-28 BROWARD 6816 1681 0.2466256 213 54 41 18 25 -7
2020-05-29 BROWARD 6816 1759 0.2580692 208 50 45 21 20 1
2020-05-31 BROWARD 6816 1969 0.2888791 187 49 34 20 16 4
2020-06-01 BROWARD 6816 2013 0.2953345 198 51 34 12 23 -11
2020-06-02 BROWARD 6822 1894 0.2776312 195 53 33 32 33 -1
2020-06-03 BROWARD 6816 1853 0.2718603 187 50 32 30 39 -9
2020-06-04 BROWARD 6816 1904 0.2793427 167 52 32 20 26 -6
2020-06-05 BROWARD 6816 1780 0.2611502 182 50 31 23 16 7
2020-06-08 BROWARD 6816 1905 0.2794894 185 50 29 26 12 14
2020-06-10 BROWARD 6816 1758 0.2579225 169 46 29 26 23 3
2020-06-11 BROWARD 6816 1740 0.2552817 204 50 30 31 23 8
2020-06-12 BROWARD 6816 1678 0.2461854 215 48 31 31 25 6
2020-06-12 BROWARD 6816 1679 0.2463322 214 48 31 28 25 3
2020-06-15 BROWARD 6816 1855 0.2721538 222 53 27 30 16 14
2020-06-16 BROWARD 6816 1706 0.2502934 235 61 29 39 29 10
2020-06-17 BROWARD 6816 1692 0.2482394 243 54 27 40 36 4
2020-06-18 BROWARD 6816 1460 0.2142019 257 56 26 44 32 12
2020-06-19 BROWARD 6816 1347 0.1976232 289 68 26 53 35 18
2020-06-20 BROWARD 6816 1475 0.2164026 297 71 30 51 24 27
2020-06-23 BROWARD 6816 1556 0.2282864 302 47 25 49 33 16
2020-06-24 BROWARD 6816 1445 0.2120012 391 68 34 66 59 7
2020-06-25 BROWARD 6816 1301 0.1908744 429 74 26 79 33 46
2020-06-26 BROWARD 6816 1238 0.1816315 451 92 43 73 45 28
2020-06-27 BROWARD 6816 1289 0.1891138 472 97 38 82 51 31
2020-06-27 BROWARD 6816 1289 0.1891138 472 97 38 82 51 31
2020-06-28 BROWARD NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-06-29 BROWARD NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-06-30 BROWARD 6816 1167 0.1712148 602 113 49 105 65 40
2020-07-01 BROWARD NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-07-02 BROWARD NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-07-03 BROWARD NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-07-05 BROWARD 6816 1256 0.1842723 799 143 65 116 99 17
2020-07-06 BROWARD 5899 1051 0.1781658 865 146 72 151 109 42
2020-07-08 BROWARD 5899 853 0.1446008 839 169 89 110 135 -25
2020-07-09 BROWARD 5899 837 0.1418885 949 187 101 129 119 10


Hospital COVID-19 Census Trajectory

We now show a census plot of hospitalizations, patients in ICU, and those in ICU on ventilators (shown on a log scale) for Broward County. Overall, in Broward County, hospitalizations and ICU census trended downwards until approximately the first week of June. Subsequently, these trends reversed and now trend upwards. The trend for ventilation has increased over approximately the past two weeks. The COVID-19 ICU census had decreased from its reported peak of 147 on April 16th to a minimum of 41 on May 16th; currently, it has increased back to 187. The observed decreasing trends for ICU census has reversed over the past month and began to increase. Overall, the number of COVID-19 patients in ICU on ventilators has decreased significantly from its highest point of 121 ventilated on April 12th to a minimum of 23 on May 13th; currently, there are 101 patients on ventilators in ICU. Additionally, county hospitalizations have begun to increase over the past three weeks.

We also show the proportion of patients hospitalized which are in ICU and the proportion of those in ICU which are ventilated.

Overall, the percentage of COVID-19 hospitalized patients needing intensive care has decreased from over 35% in early April, to the current rate of below 25%. In addition, the percentage of COVID-19 ICU patients requiring ventilation decreased from over approximately 85% in early April, to under 40% currently. This decreasing trend has remained stable over the last three weeks.

Palm Beach County

COVID-19 Testing Data

Full Data

Date Positive Negative PropPositive PositivePer1k
20-Mar 13 229 5.371901 53.71901
21-Mar 14 84 14.285714 142.85714
22-Mar 16 54 22.857143 228.57143
23-Mar 17 135 11.184211 111.84211
24-Mar 15 87 14.705882 147.05882
25-Mar 37 401 8.447489 84.47489
26-Mar 33 180 15.492958 154.92958
27-Mar 67 211 24.100719 241.00719
28-Mar 77 231 25.000000 250.00000
29-Mar 15 31 32.608696 326.08696
30-Mar 130 539 19.431988 194.31988
31-Mar 88 414 17.529881 175.29880
1-Apr 16 113 12.403101 124.03101
2-Apr 170 364 31.835206 318.35206
3-Apr 44 526 7.719298 77.19298
4-Apr 127 446 22.164049 221.64049
5-Apr 92 455 16.819013 168.19013
6-Apr 69 276 20.000000 200.00000
7-Apr 90 466 16.187050 161.87050
8-Apr 47 135 25.824176 258.24176
9-Apr 127 586 17.812062 178.12062
10-Apr 98 462 17.500000 175.00000
11-Apr 220 1987 9.968283 99.68283
12-Apr 63 279 18.421053 184.21053
13-Apr 81 352 18.706698 187.06697
14-Apr 71 275 20.520231 205.20231
15-Apr 99 316 23.855422 238.55422
16-Apr 165 1467 10.110294 101.10294
17-Apr 192 2332 7.606973 76.06973
18-Apr 61 349 14.878049 148.78049
19-Apr 52 312 14.285714 142.85714
20-Apr 112 1418 7.320261 73.20261
21-Apr 144 1970 6.811731 68.11731
22-Apr 111 1373 7.479784 74.79784
23-Apr 167 996 14.359415 143.59415
24-Apr 65 456 12.476008 124.76008
25-Apr NA NA NA NA
26-Apr NA NA NA NA
27-Apr NA NA NA NA
28-Apr NA NA NA NA
29-Apr 57 637 8.213256 82.13256
30-Apr 74 1192 5.845182 58.45182
1-May 39 886 4.216216 42.16216
2-May 51 657 7.203390 72.03390
3-May 172 2312 6.924316 69.24316
4-May 82 2250 3.516295 35.16295
5-May 100 1651 5.711022 57.11022
6-May 86 1076 7.401033 74.01033
7-May 35 1162 2.923977 29.23977
8-May 171 1117 13.276397 132.76398
9-May 78 897 8.000000 80.00000
10-May 22 1052 2.048417 20.48417
11-May 124 1198 9.379728 93.79728
12-May 143 2322 5.801217 58.01217
13-May 120 1418 7.802341 78.02341
14-May 112 1174 8.709176 87.09176
15-May 29 325 8.192090 81.92090
16-May 109 1316 7.649123 76.49123
17-May 113 1326 7.852676 78.52675
18-May 57 1906 2.903719 29.03719
19-May 67 4512 1.463202 14.63202
20-May 189 3207 5.565371 55.65371
21-May 100 1264 7.331378 73.31378
22-May 80 1553 4.898959 48.98959
23-May 45 884 4.843918 48.43918
24-May 148 2866 4.910418 49.10418
25-May 81 1347 5.672269 56.72269
26-May 36 1000 3.474903 34.74903
27-May 82 1352 5.718271 57.18271
28-May 227 3455 6.165128 61.65128
29-May 91 817 10.022026 100.22026
30-May 150 1900 7.317073 73.17073
31-May 143 2236 6.010929 60.10929
1-Jun 79 782 9.175377 91.75377
2-Jun 248 2101 10.557684 105.57684
3-Jun 153 3347 4.371429 43.71429
4-Jun 154 2966 4.935897 49.35897
5-Jun 173 2246 7.151716 71.51716
6-Jun 244 4541 5.099268 50.99269
7-Jun 114 1562 6.801909 68.01909
8-Jun 203 2676 7.051059 70.51059
9-Jun 158 1486 9.610706 96.10706
10-Jun 189 1597 10.582307 105.82307
11-Jun 197 2148 8.400853 84.00853
12-Jun 360 3142 10.279840 102.79840
13-Jun 375 4189 8.216477 82.16477
14-Jun 175 1812 8.807247 88.07247
15-Jun 260 2428 9.672619 96.72619
16-Jun 225 1740 11.450382 114.50382
17-Jun 344 2222 13.406080 134.06080
18-Jun 230 2773 7.659008 76.59008
19-Jun 365 2260 13.904762 139.04762
20-Jun 336 3118 9.727852 97.27852
21-Jun 168 2611 6.045340 60.45340
22-Jun 282 2380 10.593539 105.93539
23-Jun 352 1587 18.153688 181.53687
24-Jun 310 3216 8.791832 87.91832
25-Jun 646 5382 10.716656 107.16656
26-Jun 435 3691 10.542899 105.42899
27-Jun 456 4911 8.496367 84.96367
28-Jun 335 3088 9.786737 97.86737
29-Jun 435 2582 14.418296 144.18296
30-Jun 293 1767 14.223301 142.23301
1-Jul 407 2836 12.550108 125.50108
2-Jul 464 3308 12.301167 123.01166
3-Jul 824 5315 13.422382 134.22382
4-Jul 684 4250 13.862991 138.62991
5-Jul 399 2432 14.093960 140.93960
6-Jul 383 2094 15.462253 154.62253
7-Jul 596 3884 13.303571 133.03571
8-Jul 421 2541 14.213369 142.13369


Total COVID-19 Tests by Day

The average number of COVID-19 tests performed each day has increased from about 500 in early April to roughly 3000 in mid-June. Over the past two weeks, there has been an average increase of -68 new additional tests each day in Palm Beach County. This data is presented on a log scale.

Positive COVID-19 Tests by Day

There was a general decrease in the number of new positive test results from early April until around May 11th. Afterwards, this trend flattened out and then increased. Over the past two weeks, there has been an average increase of 7 new additional positive cases each day, per day in Palm Beach County.

Proportion of Positive Cases within Past Two Weeks

During the 14-day period from 24 June to 08 July, there was a increase in the proportion of positive COVID-19 cases reported in Palm Beach County. Over this period, there was an average increase of 0.4 percentage points per day for new positive cases.

Proportion of Positive COVID-19 Tests by Day

Overall, the proportion of positive test results out of all tests decreased significantly from over 15% in April to the proportion of about 6% at the end of May. This is function of test availability and the population being tested. Overall, since the county reopened, the proportion of positive tests is now increasing over time. Over the past two weeks the proportion of positive COVID-19 tests has increased by approximately 0.2% each day.

COVID-19 Hospitalization Data

Full Data

Date County TotalBeds AvailableBeds HospitalCapacity Hospitalized ICU Ventilated AdmitPrevDay DischPrevDay DeltaAdmit
2020-04-02 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 150 78 38 NA NA NA
2020-04-03 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 171 69 60 31 12 19
2020-04-04 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 170 77 75 50 47 3
2020-04-05 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 180 83 73 49 15 34
2020-04-06 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 138 64 58 49 48 1
2020-04-07 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 199 84 63 64 39 25
2020-04-08 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 158 68 51 47 28 19
2020-04-09 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 212 86 66 93 39 54
2020-04-10 PALM BEACH 4332 2208 0.5096953 184 90 54 46 46 0
2020-04-10 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 200 99 55 48 40 8
2020-04-11 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 196 94 58 60 22 38
2020-04-12 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 229 103 60 36 25 11
2020-04-12 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 228 103 63 38 26 12
2020-04-13 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 239 90 54 64 38 26
2020-04-13 PALM BEACH 4332 NA NA 242 91 57 66 39 27
2020-04-14 PALM BEACH 4332 1902 0.4390582 241 89 56 65 44 21
2020-04-14 PALM BEACH 4332 1893 0.4369806 204 73 48 63 49 14
2020-04-15 PALM BEACH 4332 1832 0.4228994 223 85 51 74 38 36
2020-04-16 PALM BEACH 4332 1807 0.4171283 241 89 53 74 34 40
2020-04-16 PALM BEACH 4332 1881 0.4342105 250 92 54 72 38 34
2020-04-17 PALM BEACH 4332 1807 0.4171283 236 87 52 74 26 48
2020-04-17 PALM BEACH 4332 1868 0.4312096 239 88 54 60 33 27
2020-04-18 PALM BEACH 4332 1866 0.4307479 240 91 53 62 33 29
2020-04-18 PALM BEACH 4332 1862 0.4298246 237 89 54 61 33 28
2020-04-19 PALM BEACH 4332 1800 0.4155125 238 94 62 55 25 30
2020-04-20 PALM BEACH 4332 1842 0.4252078 245 91 56 46 25 21
2020-04-21 PALM BEACH 4332 2128 0.4912281 236 86 47 41 40 1
2020-04-22 PALM BEACH 4332 1765 0.4074331 232 88 52 46 35 11
2020-04-22 PALM BEACH 4332 1783 0.4115882 226 84 52 47 31 16
2020-04-23 PALM BEACH 4332 1762 0.4067405 232 85 50 42 34 8
2020-04-23 PALM BEACH 4332 1963 0.4531394 229 84 49 38 30 8
2020-04-24 PALM BEACH 4332 1832 0.4228994 223 73 50 40 32 8
2020-04-25 PALM BEACH 4332 1820 0.4201293 223 73 43 39 23 16
2020-04-25 PALM BEACH 4332 1774 0.4095106 221 71 43 38 25 13
2020-04-26 PALM BEACH 4332 1777 0.4102031 209 65 40 50 24 26
2020-04-26 PALM BEACH 4332 1761 0.4065097 213 68 41 45 18 27
2020-04-27 PALM BEACH 4332 1771 0.4088181 222 67 43 26 22 4
2020-04-27 PALM BEACH 4332 1793 0.4138966 223 69 44 25 22 3
2020-04-28 PALM BEACH 4332 1817 0.4194367 229 75 45 30 27 3
2020-04-28 PALM BEACH 4332 1815 0.4189751 230 75 40 29 25 4
2020-04-29 PALM BEACH 4332 1638 0.3781163 236 72 43 33 23 10
2020-04-29 PALM BEACH 4332 1634 0.3771930 232 73 44 31 22 9
2020-04-30 PALM BEACH 4332 1661 0.3834257 232 73 44 41 32 9
2020-04-30 PALM BEACH 4332 1668 0.3850416 234 74 43 45 36 9
2020-05-01 PALM BEACH 4332 1629 0.3760388 235 76 44 49 32 17
2020-05-01 PALM BEACH 4332 1607 0.3709603 236 77 44 43 32 11
2020-05-02 PALM BEACH 4332 1674 0.3864266 241 76 50 34 34 0
2020-05-03 PALM BEACH 4332 1739 0.4014312 246 72 47 35 18 17
2020-05-03 PALM BEACH 4332 1735 0.4005078 242 71 46 33 17 16
2020-05-04 PALM BEACH 4332 1621 0.3741921 228 71 52 34 39 -5
2020-05-04 PALM BEACH 4332 1613 0.3723453 228 71 52 34 39 -5
2020-05-05 PALM BEACH 4332 1545 0.3566482 230 75 47 48 33 15
2020-05-05 PALM BEACH 4332 1545 0.3566482 230 75 47 48 33 15
2020-05-06 PALM BEACH 4332 1514 0.3494922 233 67 39 45 34 11
2020-05-06 PALM BEACH 4332 1514 0.3494922 233 67 39 45 33 12
2020-05-07 PALM BEACH 4332 1478 0.3411819 237 69 41 45 28 17
2020-05-07 PALM BEACH 4332 1477 0.3409511 236 69 40 44 27 17
2020-05-08 PALM BEACH 4332 1499 0.3460295 224 65 40 36 46 -10
2020-05-09 PALM BEACH 4332 1592 0.3674977 224 66 43 31 32 -1
2020-05-09 PALM BEACH 4332 1592 0.3674977 224 66 43 31 32 -1
2020-05-10 PALM BEACH 4332 1625 0.3751154 226 69 41 41 32 9
2020-05-10 PALM BEACH 4332 1625 0.3751154 227 70 41 37 33 4
2020-05-11 PALM BEACH 4332 1640 0.3785780 218 64 38 41 28 13
2020-05-11 PALM BEACH 4332 1640 0.3785780 218 64 38 41 28 13
2020-05-12 PALM BEACH 4332 1520 0.3508772 222 67 50 41 29 12
2020-05-12 PALM BEACH 4332 1520 0.3508772 222 68 36 41 29 12
2020-05-13 PALM BEACH 4332 1508 0.3481071 216 64 37 47 35 12
2020-05-13 PALM BEACH 4332 1500 0.3462604 219 64 38 40 29 11
2020-05-14 PALM BEACH 4332 1453 0.3354109 242 75 37 48 36 12
2020-05-14 PALM BEACH 4332 1453 0.3354109 242 75 37 48 36 12
2020-05-15 PALM BEACH 4332 1460 0.3370268 236 71 37 39 30 9
2020-05-15 PALM BEACH 4332 1422 0.3282548 241 73 36 43 43 0
2020-05-16 PALM BEACH 4332 1395 0.3220222 250 70 38 48 34 14
2020-05-16 PALM BEACH 4332 1412 0.3259464 247 71 41 50 29 21
2020-05-18 PALM BEACH 4332 1479 0.3414127 251 66 33 34 25 9
2020-05-19 PALM BEACH 4332 1322 0.3051708 231 66 34 44 30 14
2020-05-23 PALM BEACH 4332 1377 0.3178670 235 55 35 38 43 -5
2020-05-26 PALM BEACH 4332 1564 0.3610342 246 66 36 36 25 11
2020-05-27 PALM BEACH 4332 1391 0.3210988 246 66 37 49 34 15
2020-05-28 PALM BEACH 4332 1295 0.2989381 234 55 34 46 62 -16
2020-05-29 PALM BEACH 4332 1222 0.2820868 238 63 35 34 37 -3
2020-05-31 PALM BEACH 4332 1272 0.2936288 241 68 40 28 26 2
2020-06-01 PALM BEACH 4332 1254 0.2894737 251 69 43 34 37 -3
2020-06-02 PALM BEACH 4288 1214 0.2831157 237 64 36 39 42 -3
2020-06-03 PALM BEACH 4288 1214 0.2831157 271 90 64 40 18 22
2020-06-04 PALM BEACH 4288 1201 0.2800840 254 78 41 45 33 12
2020-06-05 PALM BEACH 4288 1208 0.2817164 253 75 48 41 43 -2
2020-06-08 PALM BEACH 4288 1295 0.3020056 307 87 48 53 17 36
2020-06-10 PALM BEACH 4288 1157 0.2698228 293 84 55 40 41 -1
2020-06-11 PALM BEACH 4288 1158 0.2700560 275 84 52 49 42 7
2020-06-12 PALM BEACH 4288 1113 0.2595616 289 90 51 42 28 14
2020-06-12 PALM BEACH 4288 1103 0.2572295 287 88 50 42 25 17
2020-06-15 PALM BEACH 4288 1273 0.2968750 291 74 54 47 25 22
2020-06-16 PALM BEACH 4288 1200 0.2798507 303 78 44 68 45 23
2020-06-17 PALM BEACH 4288 1123 0.2618937 329 95 50 49 53 -4
2020-06-18 PALM BEACH 4288 1125 0.2623601 348 99 49 58 38 20
2020-06-19 PALM BEACH 4288 1111 0.2590951 369 90 49 58 36 22
2020-06-20 PALM BEACH 4288 1173 0.2735541 376 92 48 68 34 34
2020-06-22 PALM BEACH 4288 1259 0.2936101 371 77 46 51 35 16
2020-06-23 PALM BEACH 4288 1144 0.2667910 402 82 51 68 43 25
2020-06-24 PALM BEACH 4288 1139 0.2656250 394 84 69 57 59 -2
2020-06-25 PALM BEACH 4288 1127 0.2628265 384 76 46 70 50 20
2020-06-26 PALM BEACH 4288 1046 0.2439366 403 80 46 74 38 36
2020-06-27 PALM BEACH 4288 1124 0.2621269 420 77 45 94 57 37
2020-06-27 PALM BEACH 4288 1124 0.2621269 420 77 45 94 57 37
2020-06-28 PALM BEACH NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-06-29 PALM BEACH NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-06-30 PALM BEACH 4288 1072 0.2500000 493 118 56 95 57 38
2020-07-01 PALM BEACH NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-07-02 PALM BEACH NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-07-03 PALM BEACH NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2020-07-05 PALM BEACH 4288 1311 0.3057369 555 115 71 84 58 26
2020-07-06 PALM BEACH 4088 1259 0.3079746 595 117 69 84 39 45
2020-07-08 PALM BEACH 4088 1087 0.2659002 590 129 73 87 95 -8
2020-07-09 PALM BEACH 4088 1029 0.2517123 600 134 103 94 75 19


Hospital COVID-19 Census Trajectory

We now show a census plot of hospitalizations, patients in ICU, and those in ICU on ventilators (shown on a log scale) for Palm Beach County. Overall, in Palm Beach County, trends for hospitalization census, ICU census and ventilation census decreased from April to mid May before reversing. Subsequently, we see an increase in hospitalization census, ICU census, and ventilation census for Palm Beach County. The COVID-19 ICU census has decreased from its reported peak of 103 on April 12th to 55 on May 23rd; currently there are 134 COVID-19 patients in ICU. Overall, the number of COVID-19 patients on ventilators has decreased significantly from its highest point of 75 ventilated on April 4th to to 33 on May 18th; currently there are 103 COVID-19 patients in ICU who are on ventilators. However, the observed flat trend for hospitalization, ICU, and ventilated census have reversed over the past month and began to increase.

We also show the proportion of patients hospitalized which are in ICU and the proportion of those in ICU which are ventilated.

Overall, the percentage of COVID-19 hospitalized patients requiring intensive care has decreased from approximately 50% in early April to the current rate of approximately 20%. Over the past two weeks, this decreasing trend appears to have continued. Additionally, the percentage of patients in the ICU on ventilation has decreased from 80% in early April to the current percentage of approximately 60%. The initial decreasing trend from early April to mid May has reversed over the past three weeks and begun to increase slightly for Palm Beach County.

Conclusion

During the past two weeks, the number of positive COVID-19 tests has increased by an average of 85, 55, and 7 each day for Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach Counties, respectively. Additionally, there has been a substantial increase in the proportion of positive COVID-19 tests obtained within the past two weeks. Furthermore, hospitalization census, ICU census, and ventilation census for Miami-Dade County have all begun to increase over approximately the last three weeks. Taken together, this evidence points to increased community spread of COVID-19 in Miami-Dade County and represents a significant concern for the area. For Broward County, the number of people in the hospital and in intensive care units have increased since the beginning of June; the number of people on ventilation has begun to increase as well. Finally, for Palm Beach County, hospitalization census, ICU census and ventilation census have all increased consistently since approximately mid May.

Data Sources

Data sources are as follows: